Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SAND prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-30 0.100476 0.118042 0.137674 0.161230 0.188715 0.219766 0.257503
2025-12-07 0.073998 0.096479 0.124225 0.160939 0.208207 0.266989 0.345630
2025-12-14 0.057251 0.080800 0.112135 0.156787 0.218700 0.301445 0.420397
2025-12-21 0.047171 0.071070 0.104903 0.156137 0.231620 0.338606 0.501678
2025-12-28 0.041480 0.066126 0.102931 0.161663 0.252819 0.388690 0.606411
2026-01-04 0.037211 0.062398 0.101850 0.167819 0.275066 0.442231 0.722254
2026-01-11 0.033316 0.058521 0.099766 0.171745 0.293826 0.492023 0.837708
2026-01-18 0.029501 0.054113 0.096067 0.172256 0.306663 0.533275 0.943581
2026-01-25 0.025364 0.048481 0.089441 0.166688 0.308132 0.555271 1.018813
2026-02-01 0.021662 0.043063 0.082405 0.159310 0.305190 0.568844 1.080149
2026-02-08 0.019091 0.039385 0.078011 0.156113 0.309271 0.595005 1.166763
2026-02-15 0.016753 0.035816 0.073331 0.151686 0.310309 0.615365 1.244329
2026-02-22 0.015322 0.034019 0.072142 0.154550 0.327095 0.669738 1.398870
2026-03-01 0.013718 0.031637 0.069491 0.154184 0.337579 0.713610 1.539375
2026-03-08 0.012021 0.028774 0.065414 0.150190 0.339891 0.741159 1.649739
2026-03-15 0.010822 0.026840 0.063053 0.149565 0.349289 0.784449 1.798819
2026-03-22 0.010188 0.026130 0.063313 0.154863 0.372521 0.860132 2.028206
2026-03-29 0.009648 0.025561 0.063810 0.160765 0.397882 0.943480 2.285152
2026-04-05 0.009026 0.024684 0.063446 0.164530 0.418663 1.018849 2.532892
2026-04-12 0.008286 0.023381 0.061851 0.165020 0.431527 1.077252 2.747464
2026-04-19 0.007339 0.021367 0.058173 0.159681 0.429105 1.098775 2.874699
2026-04-26 0.006426 0.019300 0.054059 0.152606 0.421249 1.105961 2.966877
2026-05-03 0.005791 0.017917 0.051571 0.149542 0.423524 1.138815 3.128919